This is the first episode. Instagram did not return a 200. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. They consider how much. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. gold rush supreme second chance winners. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. MANAGER'S SALARY. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. . Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. In the main event, former light What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. david senak now. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. You can't imitate a worldview. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. 3 min read. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. June 2, 2016. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. Dive in and Share your insights! LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. Feb. 25, 2021. info. NEW TOWN . The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. robert kraft granddaughter. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. This is the final episode. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. All. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. . It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. No place like 'Nam. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. It's a busy week! We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. The State Of The Polls, 2016. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. 01:06 PM. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. Thanks! The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. What does it take to make democracy work? Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries.